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Zbieżność czasowa, nie dowód przyczyny — sprawdź sam.
Retail trading volume is down... September 28, 2026 Presented By ’Sup. After 21 MLB seasons, Detroit Tigers legend Justin Verlander pitched his final game on Saturday, a 4–3 win over the Pittsburgh Pirates. When it was time for the 43-year-old to walk off the mound, his seven-year-old daughter ran out to give him a big hug, causing him to break down in tears. It was also an emotional moment for many fans, who were grateful to have a nice reason to cry, instead of the usual Detroit Tiger reasons. — Brendan Cosgrove, Holly Van Leuven, Neal Freyman In today’s newsletter, we’ll get into: Institutional investors out-trading retail investors The terror probe involving a UK air base Ford’s employee of the month being a hawk (Literally.) Markets: Year-to-Date Nasdaq 27,068.72 +16.46% S&P 7,743.41 +13.12% Dow 51,828.62 +7.83% 10-Year 5.184% +102.1 bps Bitcoin $83,704.66 -4.35% Meta $751.66 +14.17% Data is provided by *Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 7:30pm ET. Here's what these numbers mean. Markets: It’s a big week for economic data, with updates due on job numbers, inflation, and consumer confidence (more on those later). Investors will also be watching bond yields and their impact on borrowing costs, especially in the AI space. Stock spotlight: Meta’s stock took a hit on Friday after Goldman Sachs questioned the revenue math used to justify massive AI infrastructure investments, but the company’s new Muse AI agent could inspire a change of heart today as it continues to top app charts. Markets Sponsored by DealMaker The future of retail capital. Founders have raised over $2.8b from their own communities on DealMaker. Learn how it works . TRADING PLACES Small investors aren’t so big on stocks right now Retail trading is a bit like saying the phrase “6-7.” It was all the rage last year, but it’s been much less popular in 2026. As a result, average joe investors have ceded some of their influence on markets back to institutional traders. Turning down the volume Retail investors—who tend to lack the sophisticated expertise and fleece vests that professional traders possess—are often referred to as “dumb money,” and, historically, they didn’t account for huge proportions of trading volume. But things changed during the pandemic, when zero-commission trading, social media coordination, and home-baked sourdough fueled a retail revolution, thanks in part to the rise of meme stocks. Most experts thought the dumb money trend would fade away , but it proved resilient. By 2025, it was looking smarter than ever, thanks to the TACO trade , where individual investors bought market dips on the assumption that President Trump would roll back policy proposals, while institutional investors watched the volatility from the stands. But things have started to flip back this year, and the so-called smart money is at the front of the parade again. According to a CNBC report: Retail investors’ share of S&P 500 trading volume is now more than three percentage points below the five-year average, according to Goldman Sachs. Meanwhile, institutional investors’ options flow is three times higher than it usually is in September, according to data from Vanda Research. Where have all the retail investors gone? Some are handing their decision-making over to AI agents , which, with the right prompts, can act like boring dispassionate hedge fund managers that might be more content to ride out long-term waves (and, theoretically, make fewer trades). Others are stepping away from stocks and taking advantage of the highest bond yields in more than a decade. Through August, $625 billion net flowed into US bond funds so far this year—the highest that number’s been since 2010, according to research firm Morningstar. Meanwhile, in an uncertain macro environment, institutional investors are still finding horses to bet on. They’re just being more selective and sticking to specific AI stocks, like Meta, according to Viraj Patel, global market strategist at Vanda.— BC Sponsored By DealMaker The future of retail capital DealMaker is the platform companies use to raise capital directly from the people who already believe in them and their mission, like their customers, fans, and communities. It helps founders turn believers into shareholders on their own terms, and companies on the platform have raised over $2.8b from 500k+ investors . DealMaker provides one place for founders to share their company with investors, collect investments, and manage shareholders. For investors, it opens the door to owning a piece of companies they already know and care about. Raising this way builds a community of investors who believe in the company, buy from it, and refer others. This is capital raising, redefined for the companies building the future. Learn how DealMaker works . World Tour de headlines A scene from Edgewater, NJ. Anadolu/Getty Images 🌀 Deadly nor’easter left 100,000+ without power. The storm, the first of perhaps several to strike the US East Coast this year due to an El Niño climate pattern, brought widespread power outages to the Connecticut and New Jersey shores as well as Long Island and other parts of New York state. In some areas of Massachusetts, rain totals exceeded 7 inches. Boston Logan and NYC LaGuardia topped the list of worst airport service disruptions yesterday, stranding thousands of travelers. The storm killed at least one person: A New York City housing authority worker died on Saturday due to a fallen tree. 🚨 Five suspects held for terror probe involving UK air base. Around 12:45am local time yesterday, British police arrested five men under suspicion of preparing for a terrorist attack involving explosives outside of RAF Fairford. The air base, about 100 miles west of London, is operated by the US under an agreement dating back to the Cold War. The US Air Force has used it to deploy B-1 and B-52 bombers to Iran. President Trump said of the incident, “They were looking to do big damage to our fort.
Plus: How is the Fed rate hike impacting REITs? September 28, 2026 PRESENTED BY Good morning. Welcome to the latest special edition of Advisor Upside, where we dive into the growing, exciting and at times quite chaotic world of alternative investments. They’re no longer just the tools of institutions and the ultra-wealthy; now more than ever, clients are gaining exposure to everything from private equity and private credit to real estate venture capital. We’re covering the biggest trends, regulatory shifts, new products and advisor strategies reshaping private markets. This time around, we’re taking a look at how bitcoin is steadily becoming a standard asset in portfolios, the importance of finding the right right private fund manager and how the latest Fed rate hike is affecting REITs. Now let’s get alternative. CRYPTOCURRENCY Has Bitcoin Found Its Place in the Portfolio Sun? Photo via Moe Zoyari/Sipa USA/Newscom Investing in bitcoin can feel a lot like riding the Cyclone on Coney Island: ups, downs and a whole lot of bumps. In October 2025, bitcoin topped $126,000, an all-time high, before falling to less than half that by the end of June. Now, it’s surging again, recently surpassing $84,000. Despite the volatility, crypto adoption among advisors is growing. Last year, 42% of independent RIAs reported allocating to crypto in client portfolios, up from 28% the year before, according to a Bitwise and VettaFi survey . Meanwhile, roughly $2.7 billion has flowed into BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) in the past month, a sign of continued investor demand for the asset. So, is crypto becoming a standard component of portfolio construction? Should every portfolio have at least a little bitcoin? Some advisors see meaningful opportunities in digital assets, while others remain skeptical. “Most advisors are still relatively cautious,” said Amy Arnott, portfolio strategist at Morningstar. “People would want to see a bit more price stability first.” Big Money. Big Whammy Bitcoin certainly has high-return potential: Over the past decade, its price has surged roughly 14,000%, vastly outpacing the S&P 500’s roughly 300% total return, including dividends. But those returns come with dramatically greater volatility. bitcoin fell 74% in 2018 alone. That volatility is part of the appeal, though, said Mark Stancato, founder of VIP Wealth Advisors, who views the category as a legitimate asset class for investors who can tolerate the swings. For those clients, he typically allocates about 5% to digital assets. “Large enough that success can matter, but small enough that a major drawdown shouldn’t derail the financial plan,” he said. Kevin Feig, founder of Walk You to Wealth, recommends going further: an 8% to 15% bitcoin allocation, where appropriate. He views bitcoin as a scarce, collectible-like asset and said its historically low long-term correlation with stocks, bonds and gold gives it diversification potential. He also said bitcoin and other digital assets will become standard options in 401(k) plans and target-date funds. “We’re still early, but institutional adoption is accelerating fast,” he said. Don’t Know What You Don’t Know. But bitcoin’s volatility and speculative nature make it difficult to evaluate, said Nathan Nicolaisen, founder of Redspire Wealth Management. Unlike a stock, where fundamentals or a new product can help explain price movements, bitcoin’s drivers are often less clear. “It could be a simple rotation out of other assets, or it could be based on fears of inflation,” he said. Nicolaisen also pointed to crypto’s limited regulation and lack of income generation. Bitcoin has variously been pitched as a store of value, payment system, alternative to gold and speculative asset. “The narrative around cryptocurrency, primarily bitcoin, has shifted so much that it’s unclear what purpose it serves in a portfolio,” he said. Written by Griffin Kelly PRESENTED BY J.P. MORGAN ASSET MANAGEMENT Private Wealth Alternatives | Where Access Can Create Advantage Investors are looking beyond traditional markets, and in alternatives, the best opportunities are not visible to everyone. That’s why access matters . As part of the world’s largest bank*, J.P. Morgan Asset Management leverages deep, longstanding relationships around the globe to stay at the forefront of deal flow and identify unique opportunities across private equity, real estate, infrastructure, and beyond. Alternative investments can play a strategic role within long-term portfolios , helping advisors build more diversified exposures and access opportunities beyond traditional markets. For investors seeking to expand beyond traditional markets, J.P. Morgan Asset Management may provide access to a differentiated universe of alternative investments. Learn more. INVESTING STRATEGIES Why Manager Selection Matters More in Private Markets What happens in private can make a big difference. Private markets are a growing asset class for high-net-worth clients, potentially offering less volatility and higher returns than public markets. As businesses stay private longer, more capital formation is happening there: Some 80% of companies with revenue over $100 million are now private, per BlackRock . But private fund managers, especially in private equity, show far more variable performance than public managers, making manager due diligence critical. “The dispersion across managers between good and bad is large,” said Phil Bauer, portfolio specialist at Calamos Investments. “You want to make sure that if you’re going to invest in these markets, that you are investing in managers that have done this, that have the expertise, that are not tourists, that have a long track record of doing it. That’s where a lot of the excess returns come from.” Mind the Gap Return dispersion is almost seven times wider for private equity than for large-cap public equities: There’s a gap of more than 19 percentage points between top and bottom quartile managers, v
Plus: The wobble in bank stocks | Monday, September 28, 2026 Presented By Capital One Axios Markets By Emily Peck and Matt Phillips · Sep 28, 2026 🌅 Rise and shine, market maniacs. It's Monday. 📈 The pressure coming from the U.S. Treasury market continues, with the yield on the 10-year note rising above 5.20% overnight. Rising oil prices are said to be the culprit, after the Trump administration rejected an Iranian ceasefire proposal over the weekend. 🗓️ Today, Matt is channeling his inner Edith Piaf and strapping on rose-colored spectacles to take another look at the recent run-up in bond yields — this time from a more upbeat perspective than may otherwise come naturally to him. Plus, our editor, Jeffrey Cane, spotlights a recent sell-off in bank stocks. Let's do this: 1,146 words, a 4.5 -minute read. 1 big thing: Maybe everything is fine? By Matt Phillips Data: FactSet; Chart: Axios Markets/Matt Phillips Memes and the diesel shock aside, maybe the recent bond yield surge is simply telling us to kick back and enjoy a revving U.S. economy. Why it matters: While the energy spike caused by the Iran war is a big deal, some analysts stress that the main takeaway of the bond market's recent turn should be that the U.S. economy is simply far stronger than many previously thought. Zoom in: Get out your slide rule and pop in your pocket protector: This view hangs on a slightly technical analysis of the recent rise in Treasury yields. Let's get bond geeky! How it works: One way analysts think about Treasury yields is as a kind of layered cake composed of two distinct financial flavors. The first layer, "real yields," reflects, in part, the market's expectations for the strength of the underlying economy. It's usually measured by taking the quoted rate on U.S. inflation-protected Treasurys (TIPS). The second layer is "inflation expectations," which is measured by the difference between yields on TIPS and regular Treasury securities that mature at roughly the same time. The gap between these two is basically the market's ballpark estimate of the average annual inflation rate over the period in question. The big picture: By this analysis, if the change in real yields accounts for a larger chunk of the overall change in Treasury yields, the move is said to be driven by expectations of stronger economic growth — and vice versa if changes in inflation expectations are the bigger component of the yield change. It seems clear that real yields have been the key driver this year. For instance, over the one-month period that ended Friday, the five-year real yield (up 0.66 percentage points) over the last month, accounts for the overwhelming bulk of the increase of 0.72 percentage points in the five-year Treasury note. Inflation expectations account for just 0.06 percentage points. What they're saying: "Given that Brent is up around 73% so far in 2026, and US CPI has risen from 2.4% in January to an expected 3.60% in September, anyone outside bond markets could be forgiven for assuming the bond market is becoming increasingly concerned about inflation," Deutsche Bank analysts wrote. "This couldn't be further from the truth." Between the lines: It might be hard to believe, given the level of consternation about rising energy costs in the U.S. and the overall sour sentiment among consumers. But there is plenty of data corroborating the view that the U.S. economy — in the aggregate — is remarkably strong right now. Weekly claims for U.S. unemployment insurance remain near 57-year lows . The S&P 500 finished Friday less than 1% from its record high. Fresh data on capital goods orders Friday suggested the AI infrastructure boom — arguably one of the largest investment binges in U.S. history — is very much alive and well. And Wall Street analysts are expecting Q3 corporate profits for S&P 500 companies to rise 29% versus the same quarter last year, according to FactSet data. The other side: That's not to say the economy is perfect. Even aside from surging energy costs, abysmal housing affordability and real declines in wages , there are plenty of reasons to be cranky. By some measures, American workers are getting the tiniest share of the benefits of the economy— in terms of income — on record . The bottom line: But be that as it may, maybe the bond market is simply telling us that, actually, the economy is pretty strong. A MESSAGE FROM CAPITAL ONE Affordable housing investment beyond construction Building affordable housing is only the first step toward creating financial stability for residents. Next steps: Capital One’s Community Benefits Plan commits $25 million to resident services and pre-development initiatives, enabling support before and after residents move in. Learn more. 2. 🎷 Banking blues By Jeffrey Cane Data: Financial Modeling Prep ; Chart: Jeffrey Cane/Axios Banks don't usually get a lot of public sympathy, but pour one out for them, or at least for those who have been bullish on bank shares. The big picture: Even as consumers continue to spend and companies continue to borrow — all good for banks' business — their stocks have slumped in recent weeks, dragging the KBW Nasdaq Bank Index into correction territory. Zoom out: The reasons are twofold. The main one is growing expectation that the Federal Reserve will raise the short-term interest rates it controls as much as twice more this year. That shift in rate hike expectations has helped flatten the Treasury yield curve, or the spread between the yield on the two-year Treasury and the 10-year Treasury. Last week, that spread narrowed to its tightest gap since March 2025. How it works: Banks typically pay lower rates to borrow short-term funds, and use that money to make longer-term loans for which they charge higher rates. The difference between the costs of cheaper short-term borrowing and lending long-term at higher rates is a key driver of bank profits. Yes, but: Treasury rates help determine the rates banks pay to borrow and charge to lend. So
Plus: YouTube delivers a plot twist for Netflix’s ailing stock. September 28, 2026 PRESENTED BY CAPTERRA Good morning and happy Monday. Steve Ballmer’s got nothing on Sheikh Mansour. Earlier this month, the former Microsoft CEO and $174 billion man was suspended from the National Basketball Association for one year after an independent probe found his Los Angeles Clippers surreptitiously funneled millions of dollars to a star player. Well, Mansour and his Manchester City say, “Hold my overpriced arena beer.” On Friday, England’s Premier League found the club acquired by the billionaire Emirati royal in 2008 guilty of all but one of 115 financial misconduct claims. Allegations include hiding losses by disguising money injected into the club by ownership as sponsorships and making off-book payments to staff through Abu Dhabi-based entities. Sanctions are pending, but City, which won nine major trophies during the period of suspected misconduct (from 2009 to 2018), could still appeal. Meanwhile, the Clippers could spend the equivalent of the US federal budget and would still lose in the Conference Semifinals. MARKETS S&P 500 7,743.41 ▲ +0.51% DJI 51,828.62 ▲ +0.93% TSLA $372.11 ▼ -1.54% Stock data as of market close on September 25, 2026. ELECTRIC VEHICLES High-Volume Semi Production, Souped-Up Roadster Offer Jolt for Tesla Investors Photo via Tesla The car is back in the driver’s seat at Tesla. After over six years of delays, the Elon Musk-led automaker is set to reveal its second-generation Roadster on Thursday at SpaceX’s McGregor, Texas, test site. Tesla shares could use the jolt. They entered this week down 17% in 2026 and vehicle sales are slipping in the world’s two largest car markets. But analysts at Morningstar, who rate the stock undervalued, say vehicles at Tesla could find themselves in the fast lane starting next year. On the Roadster Again Last month, Tesla’s vehicle sales fell 12.4% in China. US sales have been even worse, dropping 14.6% in the first half of 2026. Still, the company has not lost its core loyalists, with superfans and car enthusiasts who haven’t even seen the final version of the new Roadster yet depositing $50,000 just to get in the queue to buy one. Patent filings show the new Roadster’s aerodynamic design could include a Porsche 911-like wing and rumored features include sub-two-second zero-to-60 mph acceleration, over 250 mph top speed, and a 620-mile battery life. Musk said last year that production would be capped at 10,000 units per year, though there may also be a limited edition version with James Bond-like cold-gas thrusters co-developed by SpaceX for anyone who wants to get side-eye on the freeway. Making good on the long-delayed Roadster isn’t the only way in which Tesla’s auto division is gearing up. Last week, the company launched high-volume production of its electric semi-trailer truck, the Tesla Semi. A dedicated factory in Nevada will produce up to 50,000 units per year, putting the Semi on the road after it also suffered years of delays, with production originally slated for 2019. But the days when new vehicle rollouts were Tesla’s most promising venture may already be a thing of the past, with Morningstar’s view bolstered by the company’s plans for AI, clean energy and humanoid robots, not a 007 Roadster: Morningstar estimates Tesla’s energy revenue will grow 30% annually from 2027 to 2031 compared with 17% for automotive revenue. They also project 30% annual growth at the “Services and Other” segment, a onetime money-loser that includes vehicle repairs, used car sales, Tesla’s charging network, insurance and software. It grew revenue 19% last year to $12.5 billion. Hail Fail: According to Zacks Investment Research, the average Wall Street price target on Tesla, at $406.30, is not quite as bullish as Morningstar, but still implies a 9.2% upside. In fact, the people on Wall Street who might end up the most worried are the cab drivers: Morningstar estimates Tesla’s autonomous Cybercab will ultimately be 25% cheaper than human-driven rides for hire. Written by Sean Craig PRESENTED BY CAPTERRA That Unused Software Is Still Billing You Photo via Capterra Only 31% of software buyers feel completely confident in their purchases, per Capterra ’s 2025 Tech Trends Survey. Confidence that thin can get expensive fast, as your new software sits in your stack unused while the invoices clear and your budget drains. After every product demo, asking the right questions of the vendor can be crucial in helping you decide whether the investment holds up. Things like: How long the rollout takes, from signed contract to your team actually using it. How the price changes if you add seats next year. What support looks like once onboarding ends. For more insights to help you buy software your team will actually use, check out Capterra ’s free guide, 5 Tips for Buying Software With Confidence . Read it before you shop for your next tool. MEDIA & ENTERTAINMENT Netflix Struggles to Regain Engagement Momentum, Escape YouTube’s Shadow It’s a new day in Hollywood, with Paramount’s acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery looking closer to completion than ever (provided it completed its court-mandated weekend “homework.”) And that means more attention on what rival Netflix can do about its sinking share price. The stock received its second key analyst downgrade in as many weeks, and is now down nearly 21% this year. So why the skepticism for the undisputed victor of the Streaming Wars? No, it’s not fear of David Ellison’s new media empire, but rather the persistent threat of its now longtime archrival YouTube. TV Time When Wells Fargo analyst Steve Cahall downgraded the stock to a sell-equivalent rating on September 18, his reasoning was succinct: “TLDR: NFLX has lacked big original series & it’s showing.” The knock on the platform’s slowing engagement numbers is not new, and has been nagging Wall Street all year. In a downgrade to hold from buy last Tuesday, HSBC analyst M
Altcoin OI has crossed above Bitcoin OI, and that crossover has a bad history. Derisking BTC While AltS Races With Regulations Altcoin OI has crossed above Bitcoin OI, and that crossover has a bad history. Sep 28 READ IN APP None of this is financial advice. Do your own research. By reading this newsletter, you acknowledge and accept the terms and conditions outlined in our disclaimer . GM Investors Bitcoin is grinding near $82,700 after failing to decisively expand beyond its May highs. The broader crypto tape looks increasingly disjointed. Aggregated open interest in altcoins has aggressively surpassed Bitcoin open interest. Historically, this speculative imbalance has preceded severe washouts. Meanwhile, capital is rotating fast into high-beta ecosystems. The SEC’s recent staff guidance on liquid staking and programmatic token buybacks has triggered a high-velocity sprint across Defi . Traders are actively pricing in a finite regulatory window before policy shifts again. The market is rewarding immediate structural utility while punishing passive leverage. Here’s what our desk is watching. This Is The Only "Buy The Dip" That Matters In September. TOKEN2049 . The discount code expires with your window. You wouldn't fade a 10% discount on a trade. Don't fade it on the one conference where Vitalik, CZ, and BlackRock share the same stage. GET 10% discount and register Bitcoin Structure Confronts Vanishing Spot Demand The primary engine of the digital asset market is stalling beneath its technical surface. On the higher timeframes, Bitcoin printed a constructive milestone by claiming its 50-week simple moving average around $77,661 and breaking a multi-month weekly RSI downtrend. Relative strength against gold has also expanded, with the BTC/Gold ratio breaking out of a textbook double-bottom base. Gold dropped below its 50-day moving average toward $4,153, mirroring past drawdowns of 18%. Yet nominal momentum has failed to deliver the standard 20% to 30% expansion historically observed after reclaiming the 50-week line. The reason lies directly in the underlying liquidity dynamics. Futures demand collapsed from 164,000 BTC to just 3,000 BTC, while cumulative spot demand remains deeply negative at -174,000 BTC. Without organic spot buyers lifting offers, the market is relying entirely on synthetic tailwinds. When derivatives lead and spot liquidity retreats, upside expansions become fragile. Long-duration assets are struggling to build genuine trend continuation against an unforgiving macro backdrop. Bitcoin is preserving critical price levels, but it lacks the organic volume required to absorb an aggressive derivative unwind. Speculative Overhang Across Altcoin Derivatives Capital is bypassing major spot accumulation to push peripheral leverage to historically dangerous thresholds. Altcoin open interest has decisively eclipsed Bitcoin open interest for the third time in two years. The previous two instances, in December 2024 and September 2025, resulted in rapid market-wide drawdowns ranging between 30% and 50%. Retail and systematic desks are loading speculative leverage into altcoins, creating an asymmetrical liquidation surface. Altcoin Aggregate Open Interest : $30.46 billion, reflecting aggressive positioning outside majors. Bitcoin Aggregate Open Interest : $26.87 billion, trailing total altcoin positioning. 30-Day Total Bitcoin Demand Growth : -171,000 BTC, illustrating severe net spot and perp contraction. Historical Correction Precedents : Previous open interest flips catalyzed 30% and 50% BTC market flushes. Gold 50-Day Benchmark : Gold slipped beneath its 50-day SMA ($4,312) to $4,153, breaking defensive correlation. The broader macroeconomic environment offers little margin for error. If benchmark yields firm or geopolitical risk causes equity indices to wobble, overextended altcoin perps will serve as the primary catalyst for rapid deleveraging. Traders ignoring this leverage overhang are mistaking reflexive momentum for durable balance sheet accumulation. 25,000 People. One Building. 48 Hours. Zero Excuses. TOKEN2049 Singapore is where the next cycle’s partnerships get signed. If You’re Not At Marina Bay Sands Oct 7–8, You’re Reading The Recaps. Two Weeks To Lock $539 Entry To The Biggest Crypto Room Of The Year. Use code CRYPTOBANTER at checkout for 10% off the $599 . The Regulatory Window Accelerates High-Beta Ecosystems While systemic leverage flashes warnings, capital is concentrating aggressively where on-chain execution meets regulatory clarity. The SEC staff’s latest guidance established that functional token buybacks and liquid staking assets do not automatically constitute investment contracts. This administrative posture provides immediate operating clarity, even as legislative initiatives like the CLARITY Act remain stalled in Congress. Market participants recognize this as an administrative window tied to the current commission until January 2029. Solana has emerged as the clear institutional beneficiary of this rotation. The network is processing $2.35 billion in 24-hour DEX volume and generated $154.8 million in 30-day application revenue, handily leading alternative Layer 1 protocols. Furthermore, the Alpenglow consensus upgrade (SIMD-0326) currently progressing through Devnet targets deterministic finality via Votor within 100 to 150 milliseconds. Collapsing finality from 12.8 seconds directly benefits on-chain perpetual platforms like Jupiter and Jito’s JTX trading venue. Jito’s daily MEV tips crossed $300,000, supported by programmatic buyback models that convert protocol revenue directly into token burns. Similar tokenomic dynamics are surfacing around launchpads like Raydium, where 12% of trading fees feed programmatic repurchases, and Robinhood Chain’s emerging DeFi ecosystem. Robinhood’s upcoming summit and expanding Layer 2 activity show traditional finance distribution accelerating toward high-throughput execution layers. Capital is moving where fee
Middle East supply risk is doing the work a hot bond market needed. 🚨5 Cautious setups as Altcoin open interest surpasses BTC Middle East supply risk is doing the work a hot bond market needed. Sep 28 READ IN APP None of this is financial advice. Do your own research. By reading this newsletter, you acknowledge and accept the terms and conditions outlined in our disclaimer . Hey Traders, The tape is digesting a rates shock, not a truce. Washington rejected an Iran deal, and the easy-Fed story stayed dead. Yields are still pressing multi-year highs. Equities are drifting with duration, not leading it. Oil reversed Friday’s fade as diplomacy broke and Middle East supply risk came back. Crude is off the wider panic highs, but it is not cheap, and it is not settled. A rejected truce bought no relief on energy. It put the war premium back in the session. Bitcoin is holding the low $80,000s after failing the recent high. ETFs are still buying even as price stalls, while altcoin leverage sits heavier than Bitcoin’s and gold is no longer the hideout. Crypto is trading the same stack as stocks: tighter-for-longer policy, a bond market that will not ease, and geopolitics that can reprice oil in a session. The risk bid is selective. It has not rolled over. Here is what we are watching. Poll of the Day ( Presented by Rain Trade ) 🎯 POLL BTC reclaimed the 50W SMA. Your play on $BTC into Q4? 🟢 Buying dips heavy 🔴 Fading this rally ⏳ Waiting for $85k break 💤 Ignoring, playing alts Today’s Charts: Chart #1 – BitcoinCash(BCHUSDT) 1-Day Chart #2 – Arbitrum(ARBUSDT) 1-Day Chart #3 – Cronos(CROUSDT) 1-Day Chart #4 – Stable(STABLEUSDT) 1-Day Chart #5 – Strategy Inc.(MSTR) 1-Day Chart #1 – BitcoinCash(BCHUSDT) 1-Day Chartist: Kapoor (For the chart screenshot, ) Bitcoin Cash is undergoing a pullback retest following an aggressive multi-day breakout expansion above summer consolidation, finding dynamic bids off the ascending retest vector above the $258.2 horizontal shelf to trade near $307.2 on the daily timeframe. Engineered as an on-chain scaling, low-fee peer-to-peer electronic cash network, Bitcoin Cash combines expanded 32MB block capacity with CashTokens for native smart contracts, dApps, and tokenized settlement, reinforced by institutional liquidity tailwinds surrounding regulated CME futures access. This long trade setup targets an upward continuation toward the $434.7 overhead resistance target as long as the $212.9–$258.2 support base holds. Trade Levels: Entry: $258 Stop Loss: $212 Take Profit Levels (TP): TP1: $434 Powerful narratives create powerful moves. With 247 Research , you get the insights to be early to the biggest trends in crypto. Chart #2 – Arbitrum(ARBUSDT) 1-Day Chartist: Kapoor (For the chart screenshot, ) Arbitrum is exhibiting a bearish rejection following an impulsive expansion into overhead range resistance, failing to sustain acceptance above the $0.2130–$0.2200 zone to print $0.2068 on the daily timeframe. Functioning as Ethereum’s premier optimistic rollup scaling suite powered by Arbitrum Nitro and Stylus, the network provides high-throughput, low-fee smart contract execution alongside modular infrastructure for Layer-3 Orbit chains. This short trade setup targets an extended mean-reversion drop toward the $0.1450–$0.1500 liquidity shelf as long as overhead resistance caps relief bounces below the $0.2130–$0.2380 zone. Trade Levels: Entry: $0.234 Stop Loss: $0.214 Take Profit Levels (TP): TP1: $0.147 Chart #3 – Cronos(CROUSDT) 1-Day Chartist: Kapoor (For the chart screenshot, ) Cronos is executing an ascending pullback retest following an impulsive multi-week range breakout, absorbing supply above the $0.05965 horizontal pivot to trade near $0.06394 on the daily timeframe. Built as an interoperable, EVM-compatible Layer-1 and Layer-2 network within the Cosmos ecosystem utilizing the Cosmos SDK and IBC protocol, Cronos powers decentralized finance and gaming dApps while serving as the foundational settlement and utility token for the Crypto.com platform. This long trade setup targets an upward expansion toward the $0.07845 overhead resistance target as long as the $0.05207–$0.05965 support base holds. Trade Levels: Entry: $0.059 Stop Loss: $0.052 Take Profit Levels (TP): TP1: $0.072 This Is The Only “Buy The Dip” That Matters In September. TOKEN2049 . The discount code expires with your window. You wouldn’t fade a 10% discount on a trade. Don’t fade it on the one conference where Vitalik, CZ, and BlackRock share the same stage. GET 10% discount and register Chart #4 – Stable(STABLEUSDT) 1-Day Chartist: Kapoor (For the chart screenshot, ) Stable is confirming an impulsive recovery bounce off its macro support shelf, sweeping sell-side liquidity near the multi-month low before reclaiming the $0.02528 horizontal pivot to trade around $0.02798 on the daily timeframe. Built as an optimized settlement and high-throughput execution blockchain designed specifically for payments, digital fiat rails, and high-frequency stablecoin transaction architecture, Stable facilitates ultra-low latency, low-fee decentralized transfers and scalable financial infrastructure. This long trade setup targets an upward expansion toward the $0.03768 overhead resistance target as long as the $0.02234–$0.02528 support base holds. Trade Levels: Entry: $0.0253 Stop Loss: $0.0223 Take Profit Levels (TP): TP1: $0.0376 Chart #5 – Strategy Inc.(MSTR) 1-Day Chartist: Kapoor (For the chart screenshot, ) (MSTR refers to the Stock of company Strategy Inc. and not a cryptocurrency.) Strategy Inc. has initiated a bullish breakout sequence from its multi-month rounding accumulation base, absorbing selling pressure to trade near $158.61 (with pre-market bidding at $153.81) after breaking above the $137.51 horizontal pivot on the daily timeframe. Operating as the world’s leading corporate Bitcoin treasury company alongside its enterprise business intelligence software division, Strategy Inc utilizes disciplined capital-m
MRMI slides to -0.87 as bond yields crush financial conditions. 🥛 The fear deepens: The 10-year just hit 5.18% 😬 MRMI slides to -0.87 as bond yields crush financial conditions. John Gillen GM. This is Milk Road, the newsletter that is here to worry about macro so you don’t have to, although in this case, you still have to a little bit (sorry). Here’s what we’ve got for you today: ✍️ The fear deepens. 🍪 A bull market won't save bad tokenomics. Today’s edition is brought to you by The Flyover, because keeping up with the world shouldn’t take you all morning. Get the biggest stories delivered free every morning. Prices as of 2:00 p.m. ET. Powered by CoinGecko. THE FEAR DEEPENS The headline allocation posture of the Milk Road Macro Index fell to -0.87 this week. Source: Milk Road Macro Index This puts the index deeper into CASH and now 0.37 points below the CAUTION threshold, fully reversing the prior brief's recovery in five trading sessions. Breadth did improve (+0.58 over seven days to -0.99) as the prior brief expected, but the bond market ran the other direction. Idk about you, but I hate when it does that. Source: CNBC The 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 5.18%, a near two-decade high, sending rate volatility to its biggest weekly surge in over a year and pulling financial conditions from +0.37 to -0.28. That single swing more than canceled the breadth progress and drove market momentum to -0.62. So that’s the market update side. Now let’s check on the economic side. The economy pillar answered the prior brief's hard-data question decisively: the Atlanta Fed's Q3 nowcast holds at 5.0%, jobless claims fell again to 197,000, and the macro buffer is at full strength (+0.50) with stress at +0.00. Pretty much as good as it gets, but the same strong growth that is keeping stress low is feeding the higher-for-longer rate narrative that is crushing financial conditions. So, both pillars now trace back to the same root cause pulling in opposite directions. WHO HAS TIME TO READ ALL THIS NEWS?! 🗞️ War in Iran. $6 diesel. Space Weapons. Canada + the EU. And now AI is gonna kill us sooner than we thought. Keeping up with checks notes basic everyday news in 2026 is basically a full-time job. Luckily, The Flyover sorts through the madness so you don’t have to. These guys dig through hundreds of sources every day and pull out the stories actually worth knowing (instead of all that clicky crap). Then they package it all into one quick morning newsletter you can read in a few minutes. No doomscrolling. No 37 open tabs. No spending half your morning figuring out what the hell happened while you were sleeping. Just a quick read before you roll out of bed. Nearly 3 million readers already start their mornings with The Flyover. And it’s completely free. By clicking above, you are subscribing to The Flyover’s free daily newsletter and will begin receiving future editions in your inbox. THE FEAR DEEPENS (P2) The sharpest near-term tension is equity volatility staying calm while bond volatility has already surged. If equity markets reprice to match what bond traders are already pricing, financial conditions fall further, and market momentum has room to worsen from here. Two prints will resolve or extend the setup: August PCE on September 30th tests whether the strong growth is flowing into actual spending, and October 14 CPI determines whether a fourth consecutive 0.3% monthly print starts bending the six-month inflation window in a way that eventually puts the macro buffer, the last pillar holding, under real pressure. If inflation starts to blow out, we might be cooked, chat, ngl. The path back toward CAUTION requires bond yields to retreat enough to let financial conditions stabilize while breadth keeps widening. Right now neither condition is in place. There is another option though. If the equities market sells off, it might cool things down a bit, and might give the Fed cover to keep conditions loose even if inflation heats up. Overall, there are some serious macro concerns in the market right now, and that is weighing on asset prices outside of crypto. Inside crypto, however, Bitcoin has confirmed a second weekly close above the May high of $83K, and it seems more likely now that Bitcoin’s price will ultimately continue higher in Q4. This will not be a straight line, but it is the most likely path for the moment. Altcoins are popping off all over the place. If you want to see what I and the other Milk Road PRO analysts are doing in our portfolios through this period, join Milk Road PRO today for just a buck! Hang on tight. Things are going to stay volatile and probably get even more wild. Stay safe, stay educated, and stay bullish. BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD 🍪 If you hold HOOD, read this. Robinhood has grown into an all-in-one platform for stocks, crypto, IRAs, prediction markets, credit cards and advanced trading tools.** Bank run risk: Apollo's Torsten Slok says AI agents could drain bank deposits by sweeping savings into higher-yield accounts. NEAR's comeback? NEAR is still down 75% from its 2022 peak, but Near Intents fees hit ~$2.05M last week (up 88% in a month). Hot take: A bull market won't save bad tokenomics. If insiders hold the supply and there's no real buyer, the token can still go to zero. **this is partner content. This content is for educational purposes only. Read full disclaimer Interested in reaching smart readers like you? Sponsor Milk Road Update your email preferences or unsubscribe here © 2026 ImpactDM Inc. operating as Milk Road 1257 Dundas St W Toronto, Ontario M6J1X6, Canada
Plus: SpaceX's fiery show | Monday, September 28, 2026 Axios Closer By Nathan Bomey · Sep 28, 2026 Monday ✅. Today's newsletter is 806 words, a 3-minute read. 🚨 Situational awareness: Semiconductor company AMD said it has agreed to acquire World Labs, a physical AI model company, for $8.2 billion in stock. 📉 The dashboard: The S&P 500 closed down 0.8%. 🥶 Today's stock spotlight: Boeing (-6.9%) slid after an FAA administrator said the agency is holding off on certification of the company's long-delayed and crucial 737 Max 10 model over a software issue. 1 big thing: Controlling rogue AI agents Illustration: Allie Carl/Axios Nvidia is deploying a new tool that it says can be used to prevent and contain rogue and potentially dangerous AI agents. Why it matters: The world's largest chip company has resisted calls to slow AI development over safety fears — arguing now that technological guardrails can keep AI under control. Driving the news: Nvidia debuted the Nvidia Open Agent Safety Platform, which includes its OpenShell open-source software system and its Sentry agent monitoring system. The system "traces all actions" by agents running on Nvidia Vera CPUs, promising to "quarantine agents that attempt to move outside their boundaries in milliseconds." State of play: OpenAI, Anthropic and security researchers are investigating tens of thousands of incidents in which their frontier models took steps that outside evaluators would consider problematic, sources told Axios' Madison Mills last week. The episodes include bypassing guardrails, creating message boards, escaping sandboxes, website hijacking, self-prompting or seeking to bypass monitors. "Some of the agents even misreported what they did," Nvidia noted in a blog post today announcing its new platform. The intrigue: We're moving into a new era where AI will be monitoring AI. And that will create more demand for chips — including the type that Nvidia sells — plus the data centers that use them and the power that's needed to run them. 🗣️ "If security agents or validation models are running alongside production agents, that creates another inference workload that did not previously exist," writes Brad Gastwirth, global head of research and market intel at Circular Technology. Zoom out: The Nvidia tool rollout comes amid a feverish debate over whether rogue AI could destroy humanity. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang has dismissed the most serious concerns as fearmongering. Go deeper 2. Key milestone ends with a bang Photo: Brandon Bell/Getty Images SpaceX's next-generation Starship rocket came back to Earth earlier than planned after its first orbital flight today, with an explosion visible on the company's livestream just after touchdown in the Pacific Ocean, Axios' Alex Fitzpatrick writes . 💸 Why it matters: The massive, fully reusable Starship is key to SpaceX's commercial spaceflight ambitions. Driving the news: Starship launched just before 9 a.m. ET on a planned test flight of about 10 hours. It was set to orbit Earth about six times before splashing down, but SpaceX decided to bring it back after only about three hours. 🛰️ As part of the mission, Starship deployed 26 of the company's new, better-performing Starlink V3 internet satellites. 🔥 The cause of the apparent explosion was not immediately clear, and the company didn't offer any details. What's next: SpaceX plans to eventually "catch" Starship in the arms of its launch tower — a feat it's accomplished with Super Heavy, but not Starship — but didn't make the attempt this time. 📉 SpaceX shares closed down 2.2%. 3. Other happenings Photo: Hollie Adams/Bloomberg via Getty Images 💼 Meta is creating a new business platform for selling AI tools to enterprise customers, hiring former MongoDB chief executive CJ Desai to lead it. ( WSJ ) ⛽️ The Trump administration finalized long-expected regulations reducing fuel economy standards and ending the trading of emissions credits. Automakers will be required to average 34.9 mpg for their new vehicle fleets by the 2031 model year, down from the Biden administration's 50.4 mpg. ( NPR ) 🤖 Anthropic released a new version of its middle tier Sonnet AI model. ( TechCrunch ) A MESSAGE FROM AXIOS Break through the noise with Axios Reach execs and business leaders with Axios. We'll help you tell your story in the right way: We'll distill your brand's message into its most effective form with Smart Brevity. No clutter, no filler — just clean, smart and effective. Contact us to learn more. 4. Plugged back in The Bose Noise Cancelling Wired Earbuds cost $99. Photo: Bose In case you've been tuning out, the kids these days are glomming onto wired headphones — part of their embrace of retro tech. Now, headphone brand Bose is jumping onto the bandwagon with the introduction of its new Bose Noise Cancelling Wired Earbuds at a price point of $99. State of play: The analog revival includes renewed interest in " dumbphones ," vinyl records , alarm clocks and point-and-shoot cameras . "Wired earbuds are experiencing a cultural renaissance," Raza Haider, president of Bose Premium Consumer Audio, said in a statement. Zoom in: The new Bose product uses a USB-C connection to work with phones, tablets and computers for instant audio. No pairing or app is necessary. 💭 Nathan's thought bubble: That's right, kids: Not everything needs to be charged. A MESSAGE FROM AXIOS Break through the noise with Axios Reach execs and business leaders with Axios. We'll help you tell your story in the right way: We'll distill your brand's message into its most effective form with Smart Brevity. No clutter, no filler — just clean, smart and effective. Contact us to learn more. Why stop here? Let's go Pro. Axios Pro Deals helps you get smarter and faster on the deals, opportunities, and investments that matter most. Get started today . Follow Axios across:
Should banks be worried? Byron Gilliam “ This is the new prize in technology, and it is the ultimate one. ” — Ben Thompson The third era of the web is here Hopes were initially high that the world wide web would be a decentralizing and disintermediating technology. “One trend that I see is that it’s the individual who replaces the big organization in many of our lives,” civil libertarian and Grateful Dead lyricist John Perry Barlow wrote in 1996. In that first era of the web, the big organizations most likely to be replaced were publishers. “Writers and readers can now connect to one another directly,” internet evangelist Richard Seltzer wrote in 1995. “Anyone can be a publisher.” Soon, seemingly everyone was: Blogs, podcasts, and newsletters proliferated, fulfilling the web’s early promise of breaking down corporate barriers. “It is by now evident to everyone that the days of the press, especially major newspapers, playing the role of gatekeeper are gone,” The Washington Post lamented in 1998. The Post turned out to be one of the few survivors. Most publishing concerns discovered that their gatekeeper status was based not on the content they created, but the printing presses and delivery trucks they used to distribute it. When the web made distribution free, content became abundant. You no longer had to wait for the newspaper to be delivered; whatever information you wanted was available online, whenever you wanted it. This created a new problem: discovery. Amid the explosion of content, people needed a way to find what they wanted. At first, portals like “Jerry and David’s Guide to the World Wide Web” manually curated links to websites for us. As the links proliferated, content became overabundant, making attention the scarce resource. The companies that could aggregate the most users — and match them with the limitless supply of content — became the gatekeepers of the internet: Facebook, Google, Netflix. Before the internet, the hardest problem was getting content to users: It required delivery trucks, TV stations, and movie theaters. After the internet, the hardest problem was getting the users. The power of the internet’s new gatekeepers, Ben Thompson explains , comes from controlling the users. Once an aggregator amasses sufficient demand, content suppliers have to come to them on their terms “even though they hate it.” This is Thompson’s Aggregation Theory , which he used to explain the power dynamics of the second era of the world wide web. Now, however, we’re entering a third era — an agentic one. The second era began when the web made viewing content on the internet abundant. The third era began when Muse.ai made doing things on the internet abundant. The web made information abundant, but getting things done remained laborious. To book a flight, order groceries, or file a form, you still had to find the right website or app for the task, log on, and do a lot of clicking and typing. As of September 8, however, a Muse agent can do that for you. Just give it your login details and it can navigate the web on your behalf. Here’s a live shot of mine filing an insurance claim that I wouldn’t have otherwise have bothered with: I got $198 back! Amazing. And instructive. “This is a replay of what happened with websites,” Thompson says . “What is happening with agents is that the ability to do stuff is becoming abundant.” Websites made content abundant, which created a new set of gatekeepers — the tech giants that aggregated our attention by solving the problem of discovery. The new problem to solve, Thompson says, is “inspiration:” figuring out what to have our agents do when they can do almost anything. “The companies who solve inspiration will gain power over every entity that has things that need to be done.” One thing we might be inspired to do is start a bank run. “Muse and similar agentic AI assistants could soon sweep household cash automatically into accounts paying 3.3% to 5.0%, instead of the 0.1% national average on checking accounts,” economist Torsten Slok predicts . “If every household used AI agents to optimize the return on their cash balances,” Slok adds, “banks could lose a large share of the cheap deposits they rely on to make loans, which would be a problem for the entire financial system.” Slok hinted this could cause the ultimate bank problem with the title of his short note: “Is an agentic bank run coming?” The answer is almost certainly not. I, for example, will not be asking Muse to sweep the checking account at my bank into a fintech for the sake of 3 or 4% of additional yield. That money is working capital, not investment capital and I don’t need to optimize it. And even if I did, I wouldn’t ask a fallible, possibly misaligned AI agent to do it for me. However cute and cuddly the avatar, I’ll continue to use my banking apps myself, thank you very much. But there are plenty of apps and websites I will give an agent access to. Like my fantasy baseball one, for example. If my second baseman gets hurt next season, I won’t be opening the CBS Sports app to search for a replacement. I’ll ask Muse to log on to the app and do it for me. Along with a lot of other things. Just as Google and Facebook became the interface to the web’s abundant content, agents will become the interface to the web’s abundant capabilities. This, Thompson concludes, is the new — and ultimate — prize in technology: becoming the interface between us and everything we want to do online. — Byron Gilliam Brought to you by: Meridian 2026 is Stellar's annual gathering for the institutions, fintechs, and developers putting financial infrastructure onchain. Join them October 28-29 at Convento do Beato in Lisbon for two days on tokenization, payments, and what it takes to run them in production. Register today with Blockworks10 for 10% off. Update your email preferences or unsubscribe here © 2026 Blockworks 133 W 19TH ST New York, New York 10011, United States
SpaceX's biggest rocket reached orbit for the first time... September 29, 2026 Presented By Well, hello. We, a newsletter that is not actually affiliated in any way with selling coffee, would like to wish you a very happy National Coffee Day. And since we’re not in the coffee biz, we have no problem sharing these deals to help you get what we hope is your second-favorite morning brew today. —Dave Lozo, Molly Liebergall, Matty Merritt, Neal Freyman, Abby Rubenstein In today’s newsletter, we’ll get into: Nvidia’s answer for rogue AI SpaceX’s Starship launch The work tool your coworkers are probably paying for themselves Markets Nasdaq 26,820.38 -0.92% S&P 7,683.69 -0.77% Dow 51,481.51 -0.67% 10-Year 5.240% +6.0 bps Bitcoin $83,413.9 -1.49% MongoDB $334.68 -18.46% Data is provided by *Stock data as of market close, cryptocurrency data as of 5:30pm ET. Here's what these numbers mean. Markets: Stocks took inspiration from the season and were in fall mode yesterday, dipping as Treasury bond yields and oil prices continued to rise. Stock spotlight: Database provider MongoDB plummeted when investors learned that Meta had lured its CEO to come run its enterprise platform. SHELL GAME Has Nvidia solved the rogue AI hacking problem? Niv Bavarsky Nvidia has decided the only thing that can stop bad AI is good AI. In the wake of rogue AI models breaking into systems more easily than Angelina Jolie in Hackers , the chipmaker announced a new AI security system called OpenShell to act as a safeguard against your AI breaking any rules. The system’s unveiling comes two weeks after tech leaders, including OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, called for developers to slow things down and asked for more government regulation. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang disagreed and told CNN: “If they believe their company is out of control, then get the company under control.” And here’s how, says Nvidia OpenShell has two layers—that’s five fewer layers than a Taco Bell burrito—and is an open-source software system that any company can adopt, according to Nvidia. The semiconductor giant said OpenShell would have prevented OpenAI’s attack on the AI platform Hugging Face (which Nvidia bought for $13 billion earlier this month). Here’s how the software works: The first layer runs AI agents in a “sandbox,” the virtual space where they can be tested. Testers can define what the agent can access (e.g., networks, files). The extra layer is a program called Sentry that can “quarantine a suspicious agent in milliseconds,” according to Nvidia’s vice president of enterprise AI, Justin Boitano. Keeping it 100: Nvidia said more than 100 organizations are already using the platform, including Microsoft, Perplexity, and JPMorgan Chase. But AI safety concerns remain. The chorus of industry insiders asking for more oversight into self-improving AI got a little louder yesterday. Leaders and researchers from Anthropic, OpenAI, Meta, and Microsoft implored policymakers to safeguard the rapidly advancing technology in a paper signed by 20+ people. Meanwhile, OpenAI said yesterday that it would not release its GPT-6.1 Astra model due to security concerns. Tech leaders, including the CEOs of Nvidia, Anthropic, and Meta are expected to meet with President Trump today. Shelling out money: Nvidia also announced yesterday that it’s buying back another $150 billion of its stock, bringing the total amount it’s authorized to buy back to $235 billion. It’s the biggest corporate repurchase ever, according to the company. The previous record was held by Apple, which conducted a $110 billion buyback in 2024. —DL Sponsored By FinanceBuzz Is your car insurance getting…expensive? When was the last time you reviewed your auto insurance coverage? Auto insurance needs change over time, as do vehicle values, driving habits, and carrier policy options. If you’ve had the same policy for a while, taking a few minutes to explore what else is available in your area could reveal significant opportunities to adjust your monthly budget. In fact, drivers who take the time to compare top options could save up to $600 per year when they switch to a policy that better fits their current situation. You don’t need to spend hours navigating complicated paperwork to check your options. Using a quick online tool , you can easily compare top insurance choices side by side. Simply enter your zip code and basic vehicle information to start shopping for a policy that suits your budget. Try it out . World Tour de headlines Kevin Dietsch/Getty Images 🏗️ Trump announces $15 billion steel plant. Minnesota-based Mesabi Metallics plans to invest $15 billion to build the largest steel plant in US history in Iowa, the president said from the Oval Office yesterday. The iron ore will come from a recently opened mine in Minnesota, and the company told CNBC that the project would include “100% American steel: mined, melted, and poured in Minnesota and Iowa.” The announcement comes after President Trump imposed 50% tariffs on steel imports, which critics have blamed for driving up prices but the US steel industry has praised. 🚘 Trump admin scraps fuel-economy standards meant to boost EVs. The Transportation Department issued a final rule yesterday rolling back tough Biden-era fuel-economy standards for vehicles that run on gasoline. The move to nix the rules, which were aimed at getting automakers to focus on more environmentally friendly, fuel-efficient vehicles, comes as the war in Iran has sent gas prices soaring. The new regulations require cars to get 34.5 miles a gallon by the 2031 model year, down from the 50.4 miles under the old standard. The administration says the change will make new cars cheaper by making them less expensive to produce, but critics, including environmental groups, say these savings won’t be enough to offset high fuel costs. Car companies had pushed for the change, arguing that the old standard would force them to make EVs that the public doesn’t want. ✈️ S
But nothing is locked in just yet... 🥛 This stock has what AI needs 🤝 But nothing is locked in just yet... Chevy Cassar GM. This is Milk Road Stocks, the newsletter that reads the 10-K so you never have to. The crypto-to-AI pivot continues. Today we’re covering the latest company to cross the picket line and change its title from ‘Bitcoin miner’ to ‘AI datacenter’. First, a quick detour. Milk Road’s audience doesn’t just follow markets. They obsess over them. 👉 Partner with Milk Road A NEW $2.3B BET ON AI'S POWER PROBLEM 🔌 In April, Bitfarms (one of the bigger public Bitcoin miners) renamed itself Keel Infrastructure (KEEL), shut down its U.S. mines and started pitching its land and power to AI companies. It's been a big year for the stock, and our AI analyst Melvin took the whole thing apart for PRO members last week. Neoclouds like Nebius and CoreWeave own GPUs (the chips AI models run on) and rent out that computing power. Keel wants to supply AI companies with the land, power, cooling and buildings that hyperscalers (giant cloud companies like Amazon and Google) and AI labs need before the GPUs get plugged in. Melvin likes these kinds of businesses, because power is becoming the biggest bottleneck in the AI buildout. The way he put it: you can order another batch of GPUs, but you can't magically create a few hundred megawatts of approved electricity in the right place by next year. … and Keel has 648 megawatts (MW) of secured power, with ~2.2 gigawatts (2,200 MW) in its total development plans. Melvin says to be VERY careful with that bigger number though, since everything beyond the 648 MW is still expansion options and utility studies. (I.e. Don't slap a crazy dollar value on 2.2 GW and call it a $10B company.) Most of the secured power sits across three U.S. sites, plus ~170 MW in Québec. 👇 Source: Northwise Project Panther Creek (Pennsylvania) is the crown jewel, with 350 MW and room to grow past 500 MW. Sharon (Pennsylvania) adds ~110 MW. Moses Lake (Washington) is only 18 MW, though it's set to become Keel's first working AI data center in 2027. But this is where Melvin's biggest worry comes in… Keel has zero AI data center revenue today. Its $30M of Q2 revenue came almost entirely from Bitcoin mining that it has since shut down, and the company lost $65M in the quarter. Source: SEC Buying KEEL today means buying power plus a bet that management can sign tenants, finance construction and deliver on time. (Panther Creek's final environmental permits are also running a few months late.) The good news is the balance sheet buys some time. Keel had $819M of cash and Bitcoin as of August, and ~$1.05B of convertible notes (loans that can later turn into shares) at super cheap rates of 1.25% to 1.375%. He gives management credit for that cheap financing - but hundreds of MWs of data centers cost a fortune, so he expects Keel to need more (possibly through share sales). Keel also hired Ganesh Aiyer (ex-Digital Realty, a giant data center landlord) as President. Melvin thinks that's exactly the right hire, since getting a hyperscaler to sign a 10 or 15 year lease is a different skill set than finding power. Which brings him to Keel’s peers… Melvin puts them next to TeraWulf (WULF), Hut 8 (HUT) and Cipher (CIFR), other ex-miners making the same pivot. Those three have already signed AI deals involving Anthropic, Amazon and Google. If a hyperscaler or AI lab takes hundreds of MW at Panther Creek, Melvin says things could change for Keel. Problem is, the market is already starting to notice. At ~$3.70 a share, Keel is worth ~$2.3B, and the stock is up ~55% this year (even after sliding from a $7.37 high in June). Source: TradingView Melvin thinks a good chunk of that optimism is probably already priced in. On one hand - a big tenant could still send it a lot higher. On the other, any permitting delays or big capital raises could hurt it. So where does that leave us? Melvin just revealed exactly what he’s doing with KEEL inside Milk Road PRO. Try PRO for a buck for 7 days, here ! GET YOUR BRAND IN FRONT OF 500K+ INVESTORS Milk Road’s audience doesn’t just follow markets. They obsess over them. Every day, hundreds of thousands of investors come to Milk Road to discover new companies, understand new products, find new investment ideas, and stay ahead of what’s happening across crypto, stocks, AI and finance. And they want to hear about what you’re building. Milk Road gives brands a direct line to that audience across: 500K+ followers and subscribers 35M+ monthly content impressions 400K+ monthly podcast views and listens 187K unique monthly newsletter readers 4,200+ paying Milk Road PRO members Whether you’re launching a new product, introducing your company to investors, or just want more people talking about your brand, we’ll help you get it in front of an audience that’s actually interested. 👉 Partner with Milk Road This content is for educational purposes only. Read full disclaimer Interested in reaching smart readers like you? Sponsor Milk Road Update your email preferences or unsubscribe here © 2026 ImpactDM Inc. operating as Milk Road Stocks 1257 Dundas St W Toronto, Ontario M6J1X6, Canada